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The Monthly Letter covers two topics this month.  First, we take a look at Green Energy and how the wholesale move to these technologies likely will create a commodity boom.  These technologies are surprisingly commodity intensive and thus, with their rapid adoption, they create a Demand Shock for a variety of Commodities.  With mine exploration and development taking years, such a Demand Shock will likely produce a multi-year period of Supply chasing Demand.   Second, the South China Sea continues to heat up.  China, since the change in US Administration, continues to ramp up its challenge to the U.S. as a test of the Biden Administration.  This comes in the form of rising violations of Taiwan’s airspace and increasing encroachment into The Philippines territorial waters.  With the US possessing a Mutual Defense Treaty with The Philippines and an obligation under the Taiwan Relations Act “to resist any resort to force or other forms of coercion that would jeopardize the security, or the social or economic system, of the people on Taiwan”, a potential confrontation with China, similar to the Cuban Missile Crisis, could erupt at any time.  And Third, as always, we close with brief comments of interest to our readers. 

Commodities: Thank You For The Green Energy Driven Boom

The Great Game of Power: The Cuban Missile Crisis, The South China Sea, & The Contest for Global Dominance

In Closing

Should you have any questions on how the above issues or the items discussed in our accompanying cover letter impact your family’s financial position or your business’s future as well as the potential actions you could take in response, please do not hesitate to contact us.  We welcome the opportunity to discuss this with you.

                                                                        Yours Truly,

                                                                        Paul L. Sloate
                                                                        Chief Executive Officer 

Confidential – Do not copy or distribute.  The information herein is being provided in confidence and may not be reproduced or further disseminated without Green Drake Advisors, LLC’s express written permission.  This document is for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to buy securities or investment services. The information presented above is presented in summary form and is therefore subject to numerous qualifications and further explanation.  More complete information regarding the investment products and services described herein may be found in the firm’s Form ADV or by contacting Green Drake Advisors, LLC directly.  The information contained in this document is the most recent available to Green Drake Advisors, LLC.  However, all of the information herein is subject to change without notice.  ©2020 by Green Drake Advisors, LLC.  All Rights Reserved.  This document is the property of Green Drake Advisors, LLC and may not be disclosed, distributed, or reproduced without the express written permission of Green Drake Advisors, LLC.

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